Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 27
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 27

The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Cardinals vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 89-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 65-88 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 45 games at home (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Christian Yelich 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Garrett Mitchell 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Kolten Wong 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

    Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
    Christian Yelich 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
    Garrett Mitchell 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
    Kolten Wong 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

    Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Christian Yelich 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
    Garrett Mitchell 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Kolten Wong 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

    Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adrian Houser 2.5 -115 2.5 -120

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+12.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 67 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 65 away games (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.50 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 48 away games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 71 of their last 133 games (+12.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 69 games at home (+10.32 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 70 of their last 133 games (+5.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 85-69 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 5.53% ROI).

    • 89-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 3.34% ROI
    • 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -6.42% ROI
    • 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -2.3% ROI

    Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 65-88 against the Run Line (-30.75 Units / -16.66% ROI).

    • 82-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.75 Units / -8.14% ROI
    • 75-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -1.57% ROI
    • 71-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -6.09% ROI

    Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (125 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

    Miles Mikolas has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (658/1,433) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 96th Percentile.

    Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 17% (30 SO in 177 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — fourth Percentile.

    52% of Miles Mikolas’ called strikeouts are inside this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.

    Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Adrian Houser has a strikeout rate of just 9% (3 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

    Adrian Houser has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (180/338) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

    Hitters have chased just 95 of Adrian Houser’s 439 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.

    Adrian Houser has not struck out a hitter in his last 46 PAs against a RHH dating back to September 5th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

    Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

      
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