The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rays vs Guardians Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 84-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 81-72 ATS.
Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Guardians vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -150 |
| Corey Kluber | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 75-78 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -1.88% ROI).
- 84-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -1.71% ROI
- 68-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -7.37% ROI
- 75-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.64% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 81-72 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 3.11% ROI).
- 86-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +19 Units / 9.94% ROI
- 68-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -9.1% ROI
- 76-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.62% ROI
Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has walked 19 of 648 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has walked 10 of 353 right-handed batters (3%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has allowed a slugging percentage of .658 (73 Total Bases / 111 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .417 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (176/489) against Corey Kluber this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber has not walked a batter in his last 21.1 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 29.0.
Opponents are hitting just .190 (45-for-237) against Shane Bieber versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (39/110) against Shane Bieber on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Shane Bieber has not walked any of the 56 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.