What is there to say that I have not already said about these Pirates. They average 9.34 K per game this season, 2nd highest in the league. They have the 2nd highest K rate vs RHP for the season at 25.4% and that has jumped up to 26.3% over the last 30 days.
Nearly their entire lineup is a good target, just check out these K rates vs RHP this season:
- Reynolds: 23.3%'
- Cruz: 28.4%
- Castro: 29.0%'
- Hayes: 26.4%
- Suwinski: 31.6%
- Collins: 36.0%
- D elay: 36.4%
I have touched on Hunter's K, but would like to dig deeper. We have some very favorable splits today, on top of a terrific matchup. Hunter has 86 K in 60.1 away innings (33.7% K rate), and 92 K in 71.2 night innings. The Pirates also have lefty heavy lineups most days, and Hunter has crushed LHB with a 33.3% K rate this season. He is in the 87th percentile in K rate, 88th percentile in whiff rate, 89th percentile in K per inning, and 87th percentile in swinging strike percentage.
I love the value for Hunter here and think this line closes at 7.5 for worse odds than we are getting currently.
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