Braves vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 26
Braves vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 26

The Atlanta Braves (-250) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+200) on Monday, September 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 95-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 68-83 ATS.

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 75 of his last 103 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 81 of his last 141 games (+18.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+17.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+17.10 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+16.60 Units / 69% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 43 games (+19.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+15.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games at home (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Call 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
C.J. Abrams 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Joey Meneses 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Lane Thomas 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Call 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
C.J. Abrams 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Joey Meneses 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Lane Thomas 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Call 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
C.J. Abrams 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Joey Meneses 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Lane Thomas 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cory Abbott 3.5 -140 3.5 -105
Bryce Elder 4.5 -125 4.5 -115

  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 127 games (+25.22 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 away games (+13.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 49 away games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 53 away games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 77 of their last 139 games (+15.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 33 games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 56 games at home (+4.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.40 Units / 37% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 78-74 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -2.5% ROI).

  • 95-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.1 Units / 5.46% ROI
  • 76-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 0.71% ROI
  • 68-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -9.3% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 68-83 against the Run Line (-21.85 Units / -11.95% ROI).

  • 52-99 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -11.06% ROI
  • 70-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -5.46% ROI
  • 72-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -2.6% ROI

Bryce Elder has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 19 innings — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Bryce Elder has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.2 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 67.1.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (3/16) against Bryce Elder — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to August 14th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 13.

Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (12/49) against Cory Abbott this month (6 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Cory Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 7% (1 SO in 15 PAs) with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 21% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (14/27) against Cory Abbott — tied for 11th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — seventh Percentile.

Cory Abbott has allowed an OBP of .385 (65 PA’s) this month (6 games) — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .303 — eighth Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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