The New York Yankees (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Monday, September 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 94-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 66-86 ATS.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 52 games at home (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 41 games at home (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games at home (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 45% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.77 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 112 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 33% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 67-85 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -11.88% ROI).

• 94-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.62% ROI
• 73-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -5.01% ROI
• 74-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -4.07% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 66-86 against the Run Line (-24.9 Units / -13.7% ROI).

• 86-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -7.12% ROI
• 77-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -1.43% ROI
• 72-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.65 Units / -8.04% ROI

Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Luis Severino this season is 380.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .925 (37 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .570 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .185 against Luis Severino this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 95th Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .185 against Luis Severino this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 95th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (528/1,328) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 33% (259/784) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (528/1,328) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (497/1,303) against Kevin Gausman since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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