The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-140) on Monday, September 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 60-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 76-76 ATS.
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 away games (+10.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Mike Minor has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 54 games at home (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+8.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- JT Brubaker has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 43% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 125 games (+14.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 away games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 54 away games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.11 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 56 away games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 44 games at home (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 72-80 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -7.7% ROI).
- 60-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -9.81% ROI
- 72-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -7.4% ROI
- 76-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -2.16% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 76-76 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -4.14% ROI).
- 56-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -10.35% ROI
- 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -7% ROI
- 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -0.95% ROI
Robert Anderson: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Anderson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (25/55) of opposing batters this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (6/25) against Chase Anderson — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 96th Percentile.
Chase Anderson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (30/63) this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Chase Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (9 Total Bases / 50 ABs) this month (4 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .402 — 97th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (19/54) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (7/59) against Roansy Contreras on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (71/204) against Roansy Contreras with runners in scoring position this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (20/117) against Roansy Contreras on breaking pitches this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.