The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at –1.5.
The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 66-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 76-75 ATS.
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 away games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 53 games at home (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games at home (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games at home (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Cal Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+10.25 Units / 112% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 21 away games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 74-78 against the Run Line (-16.25 Units / -8.34% ROI).
- 66-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -7.15% ROI
- 62-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.6 Units / -14.12% ROI
- 78-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.05 Units / 5.99% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 76-75 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -3.63% ROI).
- 56-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -9.58% ROI
- 68-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -7.65% ROI
- 74-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.36% ROI
Adrian Sampson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 6 double plays in 15 opportunities (40%) this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 12 double plays in 54 opportunities (22%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has walked 4 of 20 left-handed batters (20%) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has a strikeout rate of just 23% (11 SO in 48 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Luis Ortiz: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.1 innings pitched — Jonathan Loaisiga has the longest active streak at 25.0.
Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of just .349 (42 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .703 — 99th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of just .135 (5 Total Bases / 37 ABs) this month (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .108 (4-for-37) against Luis Ortiz this month (2 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 97th Percentile.