Let's break down each of these plays.
NFL pick today: Buffalo Bills -4.5 over Miami Dolphins (-110), 1:00 pm ET
After two weeks, the Bills have a +55 point differential, the highest in the league by far. They've taken down the reigning champions with ease and completely shut down one of the most dangerous running backs in the league in back-to-back weeks. The only negative is that Buffalo will have had one less rest day since they played on Monday night, but the Bills don't look like they're slowing down anytime soon, so back Buffalo before this line moves too far.
Be sure to check out our full Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins predictions
NFL pick today: Baltimore Ravens -2.5 over New England Patriots (-120), 1:00 pm ET
Baltimore has been getting off to fast starts, and to say that New England isn't a team built to play from behind would be a gross understatement. The Patriots were terrible against the Dolphins in Week 1, and they were bad – at least offensively – again during last Sunday's 17-14 win over Pittsburgh. Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss. The Patriots are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four at home. For that reason, backing the Ravens to bounce back in a big way will be the play.