The New York Yankees (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Wednesday, October 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Yankees are 95-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 93-73 ATS.
Yankees vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-5, 2.84 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 16-9, 2.98 ERA
Yankees vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 107 games (+20.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 81 away games (+19.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 81 away games (+6.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 92 of their last 162 games (+13.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 162 games (+7.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 84-80 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 4.25% ROI).
- 95-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -5.08% ROI
- 87-71 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 4.66% ROI
- 71-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.4 Units / -13.56% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 93-73 against the Run Line (+9.4 Units / 4.21% ROI).
- 89-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 2.72% ROI
- 70-91 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.6 Units / -16.3% ROI
- 91-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 7.26% ROI
Royals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) |
0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) |
0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) |
0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) |
0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) |
0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) |
0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) |
0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) |
3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) |
4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 45% of Clarke Schmidt’s pitches (42/93) with two-strikes in his last three starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 59% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since last season is 382.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season was 382.5 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Clarke Schmidt has a strike rate of just 59% (274/465) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has walked 13 of 288 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (48/260) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has walked 16 of 393 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 87th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 (82 Total Bases / 279 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .425 — 100th Percentile.