The Toledo Rockets (4-1) visit UB Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bulls (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Buffalo, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Toledo vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 44.5 total points.
Bet now on Buffalo U vs Toledo & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and Buffalo U, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Toledo vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Buffalo U vs Toledo and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Toledo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Buffalo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.90 Units / 21% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Toledo players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Toledo Player Prop Bets Today
- Jerjuan Newton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Jacquez Stuart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Junior Vandeross III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Buffalo players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buffalo Player Prop Best Bets Today
- CJ Ogbonna has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Toledo is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Toledo is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 34.01% ROI
- Toledo is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
- Toledo is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Buffalo U is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI).
- Buffalo is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Buffalo is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.35 Units / -42.34% ROI
- Buffalo is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 34.86% ROI
Toledo is 8-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
Toledo is 9-2 (.818) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .457
Toledo is 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .383
Toledo is 13-3 (.812) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
Buffalo is winless (0-5) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .443
Buffalo is winless (0-5) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .394
Buffalo is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .423
Buffalo is 6-10 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .630
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 665 passing yards in 5 games (just 133.0 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed 255.4 passing yards per game this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 2,861 passing yards in 17 games (just 168.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 202.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.