The Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-3) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
UL Lafayette is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Appalachian State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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Appalachian State vs Louisiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and UL Lafayette, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Appalachian State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Appalachian State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Appalachian State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Louisiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today
- Joey Aguilar has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Joey Aguilar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kanye Roberts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chandler Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Robert Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chandler Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -59.62% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Appalachian State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UL Lafayette is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 19.1% ROI).
- Louisiana is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 26.95% ROI
- Louisiana is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- Louisiana is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
Appalachian State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .554
Appalachian State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .616
Appalachian State is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Appalachian State is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611
Louisiana is 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611
Louisiana is 8-5 (.615) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .465
Louisiana is 7-4 (.636) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .457
Louisiana is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .554
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 2,577 yards on 463 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.