The Iowa State Cyclones (5-0) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT .
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Iowa State vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Iowa State vs West Virginia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St. and West Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa State vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 68.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 away games (+9.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa State Player Prop Bets Today
- Rocco Becht has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.55 Units / 82% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jayden Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jaylin Noel has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Abu Sama III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best West Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Traylon Ray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jaden Bray has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.93% ROI).
- Iowa State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 10.97% ROI
- Iowa State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- Iowa State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI).
- West Virginia is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -36.76% ROI
- West Virginia is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- West Virginia is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Iowa State is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .360
Iowa State is 8-1 (.889) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .694
Iowa State is 8-1 (.889) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .630
Iowa State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .627
West Virginia is 9-4 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .451
West Virginia is 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .682
West Virginia is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .632
West Virginia is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667
West Virginia’s WRs has 172 receptions in 18 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-worst among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 17.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.7% of 131 attempts this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.