The North Texas Mean Green (4-1) visit FAU Stadium to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls (2-3) on Oct. 12 in Boca Raton, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).
The North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
Bet now on Florida Atlantic vs North Texas & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and Florida Atlantic, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Florida Atlantic vs North Texas and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Florida Atlantic Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 15.6% ROI).
- North Texas is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 40.58% ROI
- North Texas is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.85 Units / 51.35% ROI
- North Texas is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -62.39% ROI
Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Atlantic is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI).
- Florida Atlantic is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -23.71% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI
North Texas is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
North Texas is 7-2 (.778) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .599
North Texas is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .632
North Texas is 1-5 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Florida Atlantic is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .261
Florida Atlantic is 5-5 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .630
Florida Atlantic is 4-11 (.267) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Florida Atlantic is 1-9 (.100) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .369
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 539 attempts since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 814 passing yards in 5 games (just 162.8 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 265.6 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.