The Air Force Falcons (1-4) visit University Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos (1-4) on Oct. 12 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Air Force vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and New Mexico, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Air Force vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -75% ROI).
- Air Force is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -57.14% ROI
- Air Force is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
- Air Force is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -27.03% ROI
- New Mexico is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 72.73% ROI
- New Mexico is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -80% ROI
Air Force is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Air Force is winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .322
Air Force is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .547
Air Force is winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382
New Mexico is winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .422
New Mexico is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
New Mexico is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .366
New Mexico is 3-9 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
New Mexico’s RBs has averaged 6.2 targets per game this season — T-18th-highest among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 11.2 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.