The UTEP Miners (0-5) visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-2) on Oct. 10 in Bowling Green, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).
The UTEP vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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UTEP vs Western Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 91.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Western Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTEP vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTEP have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTEP Player Prop Bets Today
- Cade McConnell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Western Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Dalvin Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Elijah Young has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).
- UTEP is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -66.67% ROI
- UTEP is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
- UTEP is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -17.24% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
UTEP is 3-10 (.231) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .630
UTEP is 1-14 (.067) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .366
UTEP is 1-14 (.067) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .369
UTEP is winless (0-14) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .347
Western Kentucky is 10-3 (.769) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596
Western Kentucky is 10-3 (.769) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .649
Western Kentucky is 8-5 (.615) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .383
Western Kentucky is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .627
Western Kentucky’s WRs has 347 receptions in 18 games (19.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Kentucky’s WRs has 347 receptions in 18 games (19.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 11.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.