The San Diego Padres (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Sunday, October 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 95-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 81-82 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 7-3, 3.32 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 13-7, 3.18 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 88 games (+22.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 82 away games (+14.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+22.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+6.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 84-81 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 2.62% ROI).
- 95-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.4 Units / 4.63% ROI
- 85-76 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 76-85 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.1 Units / -9.92% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 81-82 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -3.13% ROI).
- 99-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -2.29% ROI
- 90-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.15 Units / 8.46% ROI
- 68-90 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.05 Units / -17.27% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) |
0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) |
0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) |
0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) |
0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Will Smith (LAD) |
0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) |
0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) |
0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish (SD) |
3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has thrown off-speed pitches 77% of the time (37/48) when he’s behind in the count over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (28-for-195) against Yu Darvish on fastballs away since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 99th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Yu Darvish in the 2023 season was 385.4 feet — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .226 (44 Total Bases / 195 ABs) on fastballs away since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: .375 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 30% (194 SO in 649 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (292/571) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (714/1,415) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 9 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.