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The Atlanta Falcons host the Tampa Buccaneers in a key NFC South matchup on Thursday Night Football.
The Buccaneers are 3-1, and Baker Mayfield is off to a fantastic start. Yet, the latest Thursday Night Football odds have the Buccaneers listed as underdogs at our best NFL betting sites, as I make the best Buccaneers vs. Falcons TNF prop bets.
The Falcons' Bijan Robinson, who is questionable for the game, has been mostly ineffective this season despite an uptick in production. That said, his presence still significantly affects a defensive game plan. So, who will the Falcons turn to if Robinson cannot play?
The below props are part of our comprehensive TNF coverage, including the Buccaneers vs. Falcons prediction. Take a look at our NFL Week 5 predictions for more expert analysis.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons player props: Thursday Night Football
Odds as of Wednesday and subject to change.
- Drake London Over 5.5 receptions (+112 via FanDuel) ????
- Baker Mayfield Under 238.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ???
- Bucky Irving Over 41.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ???
NFL picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Darnell Mooney may lead the Falcons in receiving yards, but Drake London has been Kirk Cousins' favorite target. London has pulled in six catches and eclipsed 50 yards in each of his last three games.
The Buccaneers are right in the middle of the league regarding passing yards allowed. However, they're allowing the fifth-most completions. Considering London is the primary underneath target, he should see plenty of action while the seconda ry takes Mooney out of the game.
The price for this over ranges from -110 to +112. Considering how good London has been in the last three weeks, seeing the price this great at FanDuel is surprising. Don't overthink it.
A winning $10 bet pays a profit of $11.20.
Best odds: +112 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 47.17%
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Mayfield exploded for 347 yards and two touchdowns last week against the Philadelphia Eagles. The performance came after back-to-back weeks of throwing for fewer than 200 yards. While Mayfield has two massive games this season, he's struggled against solid defenses.
He finished with just 185 yards against the Detroit Lions and 163 versus the Denver Broncos. The Falcons only allow 191.0 passing yards per game, and they've held every opposing quarterback to fewer than 240 passing yards this season.
With this being a prime-time game after a massive performance, oddsmakers are baiting bettors with this low number. FanDuel and DraftKings have an even lower total set, but the number will probably go up before kickoff, so you can wait to get in on this.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
While Mayfield will struggle, Buc ky Irving is likely in line for another productive game. He's run for at least 49 yards in three of his four games. The only time he failed to hit that number was against the Detroit Lions, and they have one of the best run defenses in football.
Irving has seen fewer rushing attempts than Rachaad White this season, but he's averaging 5.8 yards per carry as opposed to White's 2.8. The Falcons are allowing 141.5 rushing yards per game, tied for 25th.
Irving will easily top this number as long as this game doesn't get away from Tampa Bay.
Every major sportsbook has a total between 41.5 and 44.5. BetMGM has the lowest total and has the second-best price. The only better price is -113 at FanDuel, but the total is 44.5. Get in before BetMGM mirrors the competition.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Buccaneers vs. Falcons
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Falcons (-125 via BetMGM)
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