The Baltimore Ravens (2-2-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (1-3-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Ravens vs. Bengals Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Bengals Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 67.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Justice Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mark Andrews has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Keaton Mitchell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Zay Flowers has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Mike Gesicki has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mike Gesicki has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jake Browning has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) |
7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
| Zay Flowers (BAL) |
51.5 -110 | 51.5 -120 |
| Isaiah Likely (BAL) |
26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bengals vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) |
84.5 -115 | 84.5 -120 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) |
55.5 -110 | 55.5 -120 |
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have scored first in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens art 2-2 (-0.15 Units / -3.37% ROI).
- Ravens are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -41.98% ROI
- Ravens are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Ravens are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / ROI
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 2-2 (-0.1 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- Bengals are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -68.75% ROI
- Bengals are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Bengals are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are 13-4 (.765) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 8th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed an average of 130.5 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens are undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) after a road win since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .531.
The Bengals are 1-3 (.250) this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bengals are winless (0-3) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bengals were 5-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .625.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have scored on 58.8% of their drives in the second half this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the second half this season — T-worst in NFL.