The Bowling Green Falcons (1-3) visit InfoCision Stadium-Summa Field to take on the Akron Zips (1-4) on Oct. 5 in Akron, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Bowling Green is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).
The Bowling Green vs. Akron Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Bowling Green vs Akron Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 84.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Akron, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Bowling Green vs Akron Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games (+8.45 Units / 72% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 77% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Akron Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Akron have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Akron has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Akron has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.75 Units / 22% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Bowling Green players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bowling Green Player Prop Bets Today
- Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Terion Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 45.45% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Bowling Green is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -3.37% ROI
- Bowling Green is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -2.3% ROI
Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Akron is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI).
- Akron is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Akron is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 54.55% ROI
- Akron is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -60% ROI
Bowling Green is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .424
Bowling Green is 4-7 (.364) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .545
Bowling Green is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .633
Bowling Green is 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .631
Akron is 1-3 (.200) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .630
Akron is 1-9 (.100) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .487
Akron is 1-9 (.091) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .461
Akron is 1-9 (.100) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .422
Akron’s offense has thrown for 3,326 passing yards in 17 games (just 195.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 27th-worst among FBS offenses. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 181.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s QBs has thrown for 3,326 passing yards in 17 games (just 195.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 27th-worst among FBS teams. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 181.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.