The South Alabama Jaguars (2-3) visit Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) on Oct. 5 in Jonesboro, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 62 total points.
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South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Arkansas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Alabama vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Arkansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
- Jamaal Pritchett has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Javon Ivory has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
- Braylon McReynolds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arkansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Corey Rucker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Courtney Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylen Raynor has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -23.15% ROI).
- South Alabama is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -33.64% ROI
- South Alabama is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- South Alabama is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 10.15% ROI
- Arkansas State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.15 Units / -26.74% ROI
- Arkansas State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 18.89% ROI
South Alabama is winless (0-5) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .506
South Alabama is 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .631
South Alabama is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .284
South Alabama is 3-9 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .440
Arkansas State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .631
Arkansas State is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .719
Arkansas State is 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Arkansas State is 7-3 (.700) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551
Arkansas State’s WRs has gained 3,196 yards on 200 receptions (16.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State’s WRs has gained 3,196 yards on 200 receptions (16.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.