The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-3) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (3-2) on Oct. 5 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
NC State is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Wake Forest vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Wake Forest vs North Carolina State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wake Forest and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Wake Forest vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 67.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Wake Forest Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+4.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 43% ROI)
North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+8.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- NC State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wake Forest players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Wake Forest Player Prop Bets Today
- Taylor Morin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Demond Claiborne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wake Forest is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI).
- Wake Forest is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -100% ROI
- Wake Forest is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Wake Forest is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- North Carolina State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- North Carolina State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- North Carolina State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Wake Forest is 3-10 (.231) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509
Wake Forest is 5-10 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .487
Wake Forest is 2-9 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
Wake Forest is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
North Carolina State is 8-4 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .535
North Carolina State is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .441
North Carolina State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .633
North Carolina State is winless (0-3) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .362
North Carolina State’s offense has thrown for 3,516 passing yards in 18 games (just 195.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 245.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s QBs has thrown for 3,499 passing yards in 18 games (just 194.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 26th-worst among FBS teams. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 245.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.