The New York Mets (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Wednesday, October 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:38pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Mets are 90-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 82-81 ATS.
Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 12-6, 3.49 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 7-11, 4.84 ERA
Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 104 games (+21.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 105 games (+16.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 away games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 82 away games (+6.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+3.32 Units / 12% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 163 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 90 of their last 163 games (+9.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 82 of their last 159 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 91 of their last 163 games (+8.77 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 games (+4.77 Units / 8% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 84-79 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 1.47% ROI).
- 90-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 4% ROI
- 82-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -1.1% ROI
- 76-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -7.26% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 82-81 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -1.82% ROI).
- 93-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 5.05% ROI
- 83-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 3.9% ROI
- 70-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.45 Units / -11.9% ROI
Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) |
0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) |
0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) |
0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) |
0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) |
0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) |
0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| William Contreras (MIL) |
0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) |
0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas (MIL) |
4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) |
5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (986/2,046) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (321/632) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (136/383) against Sean Manaea this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .187 (48-for-257) against Sean Manaea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 94th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (71/230) against Frankie Montas since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 5 of 28 right-handed batters (18%) in his last three starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 22 of 180 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of 1.167 (25 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last three starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .627 — second Percentile.