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The Detroit Lions didn't defend the dome in their most recent home game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but their fortunes should turn around on Monday night as they welcome the Seattle Seahawks into the den.
We've already taken care of you with our Seahawks vs. Lions prediction and Seahawks vs. Lions prop bets, but it's time for me to delve a little deeper.
My Seahawks vs. Lions MNF parlay based on our best Monday Night Football odds envisions Detroit finding an advantage with its run game against Seattle's defense as we continue to wrap up our Week 4 NFL predictions.
Seahawks vs. Lions parlay: Monday Night Football
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Lions -4 (-112) ????
- Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD scorer (-115) ????
- David Montgomery Over 63. 5 rushing yards (-120) ????
Combined odds: +345 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 22.47%
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SGP predictions for Seahawks vs. Lions
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The Lions are 2-1 against the spread this season, while the Seahawks are an even 1-1-1. After opening at Lions -4.5, the line dipped to -3 in several spots before pushing back toward the original line early Monday.
We can still find the Lions -4 at several of our best sports betting sites, so we're looking to lock in on that number to maintain the opportunity to push on final scores like 27-23, 24-20, and 28-24. But given the strength of the Detroit rushing attack against a middling Seattle run defense, we will play the Lions up to -6 in this matchup.
Though the overall parlay odds were strong when we plugged our SGP into FanDuel, we're not playing the parlay there because the Li ons spread was juiced up to -4.5 instead of the -4 number we're getting across the rest of our best sportsbooks.
Running back David Montgomery has had an eye for the end zone, scooping up touchdown opportunities at every turn. Montgomery has scored in each of the Lions games so far this season.
Montgomery's partner in crime, Gibbs, has still scored twice and gets red zone usage in both the passing game and rushing attack.
Detroit's willingness to deploy Montgomery on the ground in the red zone has juiced his anytime touchdown odds up to between -120 and -150 across our best sports betting apps. The value could lie with Gibbs for Monday night as we found his anytime TD odds as low as -104 across our best sportsbooks.
Caesars lists Gibbs at -104 while BetMGM posts the odds at -110. DraftKings has Gibbs listed at -115 odds to score, taking some of the air out of the value on the prop.
Our First Touchdown Scorer for MNF features a different running back finding the end zone first as the week wraps up.
Although we're not as fond of his touchdown odds, there's value to be found on Montgomery as a ball carrier. He's cleared 90 or more rushing yards in two of his three games since season, but his line is posted in the low-60s for MNF.
The Lions average 163.0 rushing yards per game (4th in NFL) with Montgomery shouldering the bulk of the opportunity. He has logged 51 rushing attempts compared to 40 for Gibbs.
In its only road game this season, Seattle allowed 185 rushing yards on 5.14 YPC against the New England Patriots, with both Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson smashing their rushing yardage totals in that game.
DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM all list this prop at 63.5 yards. Excluding FanDuel due to the lesser line on the Lions spread, DraftKings offers the best value on this SGP with odds at +345, narrowly edging out BetMGM (+340) and Caesars (+320).
A winning $10 wager on this parlay at DraftKings would profit $34.50.
Seahawks vs. Lions odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Monday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Seahawks vs. Lions
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Ford Field, Detroit
- How to watch: ABC
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Lions -4 (-112 via DraftKings)
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