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The Miami Dolphins will have a new quarterback under center when, based on the Monday Night Football odds, they kick off as slight favorites against the Tennessee Titans.
- It's Miami's first time with a losing record (1-2) under head coach Mike McDaniel's stewardship
- The Dolphins are the only team that hasn't had a lead this season (they took the lead as time expired in their lone win)
- Miami announced on Saturday that Tyler Huntley will make his first start for the team in place of the injured Skylar Thompson
The below Titans vs. Dolphins prediction, accompanied by our Titans vs. Dolphins prop bets, makes the case for Miami to earn a victory on Monday Night Football in Huntley's first start with the team.
Best Titans vs. Dolphins picks
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Dolphins -1.5 (-108 via DraftKings) vs. Titans ????
- Player prop: Tony Pollard Over 67.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ???
Titans vs. Dolphins against the spread prediction: Monday Night Football
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings| Implied probability: 51.92%
This spread is one of two on the 16-game Week 4 slate to have jumped the fence, as the Titans opened as high as -1.5 favorites on Monday morning.
Dolphins backers started to weigh in despite the team's murky quarterback situation. With Huntley named the starter, the line has moved away from Miami at some of our best sports betting sites, which I agree with.
Tennessee is in a similar predicament to last week from a preparation perspective. The Green Bay Packers held out hope that Jordan Love would return from injury in time to start in Week 3, but the Titans were forced to prepare for him and the more mobile Malik Willis, who has an entirely different skill set.
The Titans are in the same boat this week, as Thompson was not ruled out until Friday (the team said he could fill in as the emergency quarterback if needed). It is anyone's guess how Miami will deploy Huntley in this first start with the team, but his mobility should concern the Tennessee coaching staff.
Though he is certainly a downgrade from the injured Tua Tagovailoa, Huntley likely gives the Dolphins a better chance to win than Thompson.
Huntley went 2-2 in four games as a starter for the Baltimore Ravens in 2022, keeping them afloat and helping them earn a playoff spot.
In 11 appearances for Baltimore, Huntley completed 64.4% of his passes, adding a 226-yard and two-touchdown performance in a playoff game en route to Pro Bowl honors.
The Dolphins were undone by 11 offensive penalties in last week's loss. But with a more conservative run-heavy game plan likely in place, it should be much easier to play disciplined football.
Tennessee ranks 21st in rushing yards per game allowed, but it is in the passing game where Miami's running backs should do the most damage.
De'Von Achane has seen at least five targets every game, and the Titans have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards and three receiving touchdowns to opposing running backs.
The line ticked up to -2.5 at FanDuel after the Huntley news was announced.
Thus, I am taking advantage of the remaining -1.5, and DraftKings is the only one of our best NFL betting sites charging less than the standard -110. A winning $10 wager at the -108 odds would profit $9.26.
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Titans vs. Dolphins player prop
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Tony Pollard has already been heavily involved in the Titans offense, and he figures to be even more involved when facing a Dolphins defense that has been a sieve to running backs.
Pollard has accounted for 40% of Tennessee's touches and 25% of its scrimmage yards, and he leads the team in receptions while ranking second in targets.
Meanwhile, Miami has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to running backs and ranks dead-last in red zone points to the position.
While the latter statistic makes Pollard's +180 anytime touchdown odds enticing, it is a risky play given the low 37-point total. It is hard to envision him staying under 70 scrimmage yards.
This is a three-star play, as Pollard has at least 94 rushing and receiving yards combined in two of three games this year while touching the ball at least 19 times.
In games where he has 15-plus touches, he has averaged 15.2 fantasy points.
This line is as high as 70.5 at FanDuel, so BetMGM is the best shop for Over backers. A winning $10 wager at BetMGM's -115 odds would net $8.70 in profits.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Titans vs. Dolphins odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Monday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Titans vs. Dolphins
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 86 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph E
- Favorite: Dolphins -1.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
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