The Baltimore Orioles (+140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-165) on Sunday, September 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Orioles are 90-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 72-89 ATS.
Orioles vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 8-7, 3.75 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 12-8, 3.94 ERA
Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games (+33.50 Units / 140% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+19.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+11.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 114 games (+17.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 152 games (+16.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 60 away games (+5.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 95 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games at home (+9.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 86-75 against the Run Line (+16.2 Units / 8.3% ROI).
- 90-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -2.69% ROI
- 87-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.45 Units / 11.63% ROI
- 61-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.65 Units / -19.67% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 72-89 against the Run Line (-21.35 Units / -10.54% ROI).
- 82-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.6 Units / -8.92% ROI
- 83-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.36% ROI
- 69-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.7 Units / -12.84% ROI
Twins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) |
0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) |
0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) |
0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) |
0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) |
0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) |
0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) |
0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) |
0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) |
5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (526/1,043) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 76% of Albert Suarez’s pitches in the zone (758/995) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 68% — 100th Percentile.
Albert Suarez has allowed three-ball counts to 31% of batters they faced (77/252 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 21% — second Percentile.
Albert Suarez has thrown fastballs up 81% of the time (295/365) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .132 (37-for-280) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (156/453) against Bailey Ober this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .406 (26 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Bailey Ober with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of just .239 (67 Total Bases / 280 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — 98th Percentile.