The New York Mets (-120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+100) on Sunday, September 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mets are 87-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 82-79 ATS.

Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 9-3, 3.10 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 12-5, 4.18 ERA

Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+27.00 Units / 338% ROI)
• Jose Iglesias has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+32.80 Units / 164% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+20.90 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 44 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 57% ROI)
• Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 52% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 100 games (+19.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 101 games (+14.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 103 games (+9.60 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 161 games (+12.95 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 90 of their last 161 games (+11.85 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 157 games (+9.25 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 90 of their last 161 games (+9.12 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+5.75 Units / 7% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 81-78 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 0.42% ROI).

• 87-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 3.12% ROI
• 79-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -0.86% ROI
• 73-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -7.42% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 82-79 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -0.69% ROI).

• 93-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 6.3% ROI
• 82-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 4% ROI
• 69-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.35 Units / -11.99% ROI

Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 170 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (86/170) against David Peterson on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against David Peterson in close and late situations since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.

David Peterson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 88.2.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (228/1,191) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .484 (122 Total Bases / 252 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — sixth Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 18% (50 SO in 276 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 19% (130 SO in 683 PAs) this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 16th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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