The Houston Astros (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Friday, September 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Astros are 86-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 82-77 ATS.

Astros vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 12-6, 2.89 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 2-3, 4.77 ERA

Astros vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 away games (+23.40 Units / 123% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 46 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+9.15 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 20 games (+24.60 Units / 123% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 70 away games (+18.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 101 games (+13.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 86 games (+9.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+16.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 159 games (+13.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 74 games at home (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 50% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 79-80 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.21% ROI).

• 86-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -4.67% ROI
• 65-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.25 Units / -18.55% ROI
• 89-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +17 Units / 9.65% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 82-77 against the Run Line (+7.9 Units / 3.95% ROI).

• 92-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units / 6.51% ROI
• 69-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.25 Units / -10.97% ROI
• 80-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 2.32% ROI

Guardians vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (77/208) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 31 of 261 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 23 of 188 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 50 of 428 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joey Cantillo has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 87.2.

Joey Cantillo has a strikeout rate of 37% (22 SO in 60 PAs) this month (3 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Joey Cantillo has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to September 9th — Beau Brieske has the longest active streak at 15.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (42/117) against Joey Cantillo this month (3 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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