The Miami Marlins (+165) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-200) on Friday, September 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Marlins are 59-100 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 78-81 ATS.

Marlins vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Adam Oller 1-4, 4.98 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 16-10, 3.39 ERA

Marlins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonah Bride has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 50 games (+46.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+14.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.35 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games at home (+13.90 Units / 126% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+10.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 29 games (+10.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 75 away games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 away games (+14.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 away games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 64 games (+2.80 Units / 4% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games at home (+15.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 48 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 75-84 against the Run Line (-31.55 Units / -15.32% ROI).

• 59-100 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.05 Units / -10.31% ROI
• 84-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.8 Units / 6.16% ROI
• 67-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.5 Units / -14.04% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 78-81 against the Run Line (-16.75 Units / -7.79% ROI).

• 74-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -9.61% ROI
• 79-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -1.93% ROI
• 75-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -7.08% ROI

Blue Jays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adam Oller has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to September 5th — Bryan Woo has the longest active streak at 7.

Adam Oller has walked 7 of 42 left-handed batters (17%) this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.

Adam Oller had a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (20/27) in his last start — 8th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 90th Percentile.

Adam Oller has walked 5 of 36 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 12th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (691/1,210) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .215 (112-for-520) against Jose Berrios when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 93rd Percentile.

Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 19% (53 SO in 279 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 16th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .178 (59-for-332) against Jose Berrios’ non-fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 88th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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