Dak Prescott TNF Player Prop Bets: Picks & Odds

There's a potential blowout on the docket Thursday, as the Dallas Cowboys head to East Rutherford to take on the New York Giants, serving as 6-point favorites and looking for a big bounce-back performance following two disappointing results.

Our Dak Prescott TNF player prop bets view this as a get-right game for the Cowboys. Dallas was utterly embarrassed in Week 2 before falling in heartbreaking fashion during Week 3, coming up just short of a miraculous comeback against the Baltimore Ravens.

Prescott threw for 379 yards against Baltimore, though much of that was due to the Cowboys playing from behind. He shouldn't be put in the same predicament on Thursday against the Giants, who earned their first win of the season last week against a truly broken Cleveland Browns team.

If Dallas jumps out to a significant lead early in this contest, Prescott's services may not be needed fo r much of the second half, and the Thursday Night Football odds at our best sports betting sites are showing many of his player prop totals listed a bit too high.

As part of our NFL Week 4 predictions, we're also offering our best Cowboys vs. Giants prediction and Cowboys vs. Giants player props.

Dak Prescott prop predictions for Thursday Night Football

• Dak Prescott Under 24.5 completions (-130 via bet365) ???
• Dak Prescott Under 263.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ???
• Dak Prescott + Daniel Jones Over 1.5 interceptions (+135 via BetMGM) ???

NFL odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

Dak Prescott player props

NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds too l can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

We're betting on Prescott to record Under 24.5 completions simply because he likely won't need to be used much.

The Giants have been awfully fortunate in their last two games, losing a close one to a yet-to-be-unleashed Jayden Daniels in Week 2 and beating the Browns last week. However, New York was crushed in Week 1, though it was at the hands of the potentially actually good Minnesota Vikings.

Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold completed just 19 passes in that Week 1 matchup as Minnesota leaned on its ground game for much of the second half. I believe this contest will follow a similar script, which is why we're seeing value on the rushing Overs for both Rico Dowdle and Ezekiel Elliott. The latter will almost certainly get an uptick in usage from last week.

Prescott completed only 19 passes in th e Cowboys' comprehensive Week 1 victory, and he should finish with a similar number on Thursday against the Giants.

Best odds: -130 via bet365 | Implied probability: 56.52%

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I much prefer betting on volume-based Unders – completions, attempts, receptions – more so than yardage-based ones. Prescott could cruise past this number on only 20 completions thanks to his talented receiving options.

However, we're seeing way too much value on this total to ignore it.

Prescott is projected to record just around 250 passing yards on Thursday night. Based on that number, we're getting better than 17% positive expected value on this bet.

This yardage total has been all over the place this week, opening at 260.5 before moving as high as 266.5 at some of our best sports betting apps. However, it's settled at this 263.5 total through BetMGM and Caesars, while most others are below 260.

Therefore, we're going to pounce on this number before it's gone, and these -115 odds are better than the -125 price at Caesars.

Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has kept his stats looking mighty clean the last two weeks. He registered two touchdown passes in each contest and zero interceptions.

However, those were both games in which Jones and Co. didn't need to force the ball down the field. He threw two picks while throwing 42 times in Week 1.

If we believe Thursday night's game script will more closely resemble that outing, Jones could once again find himself chucking it all over the field. He's capable of going Over this total on his own.

However, I think Prescott will be good for an interception, too. The difference is his could come early instead of late.

With the Cowboys looking to really rebound from the last two games, Prescott may force the issue early. I can envision him throwing a bad pick on the first or second drive before the team settles in and dominates New York.

Best odds: +135 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 42.55%

Cowboys vs. Giants odds

Thursday Night Football game info

• Matchup: Cowboys vs. Giants
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.
• How to watch: Prime Video
• Weather: 73 degrees, 20% chance of precipitation, 3-mph winds
• Favorite: Cowboys (-260 via bet365)

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
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• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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