The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) on Thursday, September 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Padres are 91-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 77-81 ATS.

Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 6-5, 3.99 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-6, 5.56 ERA

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 48 games (+29.50 Units / 61% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 49 games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+20.50 Units / 158% ROI)
• Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 32 games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 81 games (+20.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 77 away games (+16.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 76 games (+19.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 81-77 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 3.65% ROI).

• 91-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 3.93% ROI
• 81-73 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 0.72% ROI
• 73-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.95 Units / -9.67% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 77-81 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -5.04% ROI).

• 94-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -4.19% ROI
• 86-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.3 Units / 7.09% ROI
• 67-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.7 Units / -15.88% ROI

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Musgrove has not allowed a walk in his last 81 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 23rd — Jacob deGrom has the longest active streak at 97.

Joe Musgrove has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has not walked any of the 48 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has pitched 13.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Kevin Kelly has the longest active streak at 27.0.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Walker Buehler has allowed an OPS of 1.057 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .607 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (18/28) against Walker Buehler in his last two starts — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .613 (19 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .331 — fourth Percentile.

Walker Buehler has allowed an OPS of .745 (49 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .467 — third Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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