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A new NFL week begins with the Thursday Night Football odds and an NFC East matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants. Both teams are 1-2.
But one is certainly happier with that record than the other. The Cowboys continue to see their Super Bowl odds slip across our best NFL betting sites after back-to-back losses.
Our anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football aim to complement Mike Spector's Cowboys vs. Giants prediction and Gary Pearson's Cowboys vs. Giants TNF prop bets.
We're down 1.30 units through three weeks after a 2-for-2 outing during Monday's double feature. Dalton Kincaid (+250) and Jayden Daniels (+155) helped us recover from a mini-slump that had us staring down a big hole.
No thanks to the referees on Kyle Pitts' would-be touchdown against the Chiefs on Sunday nigh t.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football: Cowboys vs. Giants
Best odds: +220 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 31.25%
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I promise this pick isn't solely an attempt to get Dowdle to do something for my fantasy team(s).
I firmly believe Dowdle is the most talented running back on the Cowboys' roster. He strengthened his grip atop the backfield depth chart each of the last two weeks and outsnapped ineffective veteran Ezekiel Elliott 37-15 in last week's blowout home loss to the Baltimore Ravens.
He received 11 touches in each of his last two games and averaged better than five yards per touch in each outing. I expect him to finally break the goal line against a Giants defense allowing 5.35 yards per carry and 7.88 yards per reception to running backs.
FanDuel's +220 odds would return an extra $4.50 on a winning $10 bet vs. the market low +175 odds at other NFL prop betting sites.
Best odds: +700 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 12.50%
These odds are way too high and we need to take advantage of this market-best +700 offering from FanDuel with other books pricing a Tracy touchdown as low as +450.
Much like Dowdle, Tracy's snap share has improved each week, though he remains clearly behind veteran Devin Singletary. The fifth-round rookie received a career-high seven touches in last week's win over the Cleveland Browns and turned those into an efficient 40 yards from scrimmage while being equally effective as a runner and receiver.
Though the Giants are 6-point home underdogs for Thursday Night Football, I expect both teams to opt for a slower pace to try to protect their floundering defensive play. That game script would favor all rushers.
Tracy and Singletary could both feast against a Dallas defense that has allowed seven total touchdowns to running backs through three weeks.
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