The St. Louis Cardinals (-120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+100) on Thursday, September 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Cardinals are 81-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 78-80 ATS.
Cardinals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 8-8, 4.12 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 5-8, 4.97 ERA
Cardinals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 35 games (+19.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kyle Gibson has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+11.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+17.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games at home (+17.25 Units / 96% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+14.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.65 Units / 59% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 60 games at home (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+5.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.80 Units / 30% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 81-77 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -1.8% ROI).
- 81-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -3.22% ROI
- 71-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -10.13% ROI
- 80-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 0.84% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 78-80 against the Run Line (-15.2 Units / -7.95% ROI).
- 60-98 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -2.7% ROI
- 75-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -6.2% ROI
- 78-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -2.49% ROI
Rockies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) |
0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) |
0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) |
0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) |
0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) |
0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rockies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) |
0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) |
0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) |
0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) |
0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) |
0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Rockies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) |
4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) |
3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (340/618) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has walked 25 of 161 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,606/2,689) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (98/173) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .481 (13-for-27) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .423 (30-for-71) against Kyle Freeland in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .384 (86-for-224) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .641 (75 Total Bases / 117 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.