The Northern Illinois Huskies (2-1) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (2-2) on Sep. 28 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
NC State is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Northern Illinois vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Northern Illinois vs North Carolina State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both N Illinois and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northern Illinois vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northern Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Northern Illinois have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- NC State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northern Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northern Illinois Player Prop Bets Today
- Trayvon Rudolph has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Antario Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 60.61% ROI).
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).
Northern Illinois is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379
Northern Illinois is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .336
Northern Illinois is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Northern Illinois is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .604
North Carolina State is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .507
North Carolina State is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536
North Carolina State is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .632
North Carolina State is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .445
North Carolina State’s RBs have just 13.0 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 158.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Justin Joly (NCST) has gained 225 yards on 14 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — T-4th-best of Qualified Tight Ends. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.