The Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Manhattan, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 65.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma St and Kansas State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oklahoma State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+12.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 32% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Bets Today
- Brennan Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rashod Owens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ollie Gordon II has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- De’Zhaun Stribling has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jadon Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Keagan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma St is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20% ROI).
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -52.33% ROI).
Oklahoma State is 11-1 (.917) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .597
Oklahoma State is 9-2 (.818) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .547
Oklahoma State is 12-1 (.923) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .674
Oklahoma State is 12-3 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .647
Kansas State is 10-3 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Kansas State is 12-4 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .647
Kansas State is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .745
Kansas State is 7-2 (.778) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .518
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.8 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.8 passing yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.