The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on Wednesday, September 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Red Sox are 80-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 77-81 ATS.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Richard Fitts 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 13-11, 3.93 ERA

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Triston Casas has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 47 games (+16.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+14.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+14.90 Units / 149% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 28 games (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+10.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 59 away games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 77 away games (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 77 away games (+8.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games at home (+16.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 59% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 75-83 against the Run Line (-17.75 Units / -8.44% ROI).

• 80-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -3.41% ROI
• 78-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.52% ROI
• 72-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -7.71% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 77-81 against the Run Line (-18.35 Units / -8.57% ROI).

• 73-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.55 Units / -10.2% ROI
• 79-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.31% ROI
• 74-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -7.7% ROI

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Richard Fitts has pitched 15.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Kevin Kelly has the longest active streak at 27.0.

Richard Fitts has thrown his slider 47% of the time (112/236) this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.

Richard Fitts has a strikeout rate of just 11% (7 SO in 63 PAs) this month (3 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Richard Fitts has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to September 8th — Beau Brieske has the longest active streak at 15.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (1,081/1,424) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 6.27 (51.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.58 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 66% (302/455) against Kevin Gausman on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (342/455) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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