The Chicago White Sox (+280) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-350) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the White Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are ATS.
White Sox vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 1-0, 2.25 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 6-3, 3.23 ERA
White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 away games (+22.20 Units / 117% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+10.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 45 games (+32.50 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 48 games (+15.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+12.15 Units / 55% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 away games (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 away games (+7.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+18.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 122 games (+6.17 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.10 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) |
0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) |
0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) |
0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Dominic Fletcher (CWS) |
0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) |
0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) |
0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) |
0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) |
0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) |
0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish (SD) |
5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Burke has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (66/106) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Burke has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 3 opportunities (0%) this month (2 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 23rd Percentile.
Sean Burke has thrown off-speed pitches 64% of the time (68/106) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total NonFB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Sean Burke has thrown off-speed pitches 64% of the time (88/138) this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total NonFB; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (371/656) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown his slider 50% of the time (326/656) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has a strike rate of 73% (290/398) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (28-for-192) against Yu Darvish on fastballs away since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 99th Percentile.