Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 22
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 22

The Seattle Mariners (-130) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+110) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are ATS.

Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 8-3, 2.87 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 5-14, 3.88 ERA

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 31 games (+30.50 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Over in his last 6 games (+9.30 Units / 155% ROI)
  • Mitch Garver has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+19.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+14.50 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Andrew Heaney has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 10 games (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 60 away games (+18.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 away games (+7.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.30 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.99 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 42 games (+17.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+16.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Cal Raleigh (SEA)
0.5 +280 0.5 -350

Randy Arozarena (SEA)
0.5 +360 0.5 -500

Mitch Garver (SEA)
0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Julio Rodriguez (SEA)
0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Adolis Garcia (TEX)
0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Julio Rodriguez (SEA)
0.5 -250 0.5 +195

Victor Robles (SEA)
0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Marcus Semien (TEX)
0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Wyatt Langford (TEX)
0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Adolis Garcia (TEX)
0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Cal Raleigh (SEA)
0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Randy Arozarena (SEA)
0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Julio Rodriguez (SEA)
0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Adolis Garcia (TEX)
0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Justin Turner (SEA)
0.5 +195 0.5 -250

Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Andrew Heaney (TEX)
5.5 -125 5.5 -105

Bryan Woo (SEA)
5.5 -115 5.5 -115

Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 72% (1,117/1,558) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (2,180/3,006) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 76% of the time (606/799) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 97th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .262 (83 Total Bases / 317 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 99th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .178 (42-for-236) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 54% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,511/2,779) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (337/807) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 95th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 43% (565/1,318) against Andrew Heaney since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 47% — third Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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