The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Nationals are against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are ATS.
Nationals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 10-12, 4.08 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 14-3, 3.06 ERA
Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jake Irvin has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 30 games (+20.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+17.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+13.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+12.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+53.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 146 games (+8.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 away games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+16.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.32 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.01 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Cubs vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) |
0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) |
0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) |
0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) |
0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Cubs vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dylan Crews (WAS) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cubs vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) |
0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andres Chaparro (WAS) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Cubs vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) |
4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) |
5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (439/917) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (297/1,088) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 21% (123/574) against Jake Irvin this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 14th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (628/1,980) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has walked 28 of 668 batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (38/96) against Shota Imanaga over the last 14 days — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .203 (48-for-237) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 86th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (58/151) against Shota Imanaga this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.