The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Giants are against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are ATS.
Giants vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 4-3, 3.31 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 16-8, 3.05 ERA
Giants vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 16 games (+23.50 Units / 147% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+10.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Grant McCray has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+21.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 40 games (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 away games (+13.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+9.14 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 77 games at home (+10.24 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+5.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Royals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) |
0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) |
0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) |
0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) |
0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) |
0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) |
0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Royals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) |
0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) |
0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) |
0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) |
0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell (SF) |
6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) |
5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (297/774) against Blake Snell this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .180 (178-for-989) against Blake Snell since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (68/153) against Blake Snell when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 58 of 443 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3213.5 RPM on curveballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 2530.9 — 100th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown breaking pitches 46% of the time (650/1,408) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (45/248) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2022 season (10th best among qualified RPs)– 90th Percentile.