The Chicago White Sox (+225) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-275) on Saturday, September 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the White Sox are 36-118 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 77-77 ATS.
White Sox vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-14, 5.11 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Martin Perez 4-5, 4.31 ERA
White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 69.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on White Sox vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 away games (+22.20 Units / 117% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Zach DeLoach has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+8.45 Units / 115% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 44 games (+33.50 Units / 76% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+17.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+16.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 away games (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 away games (+7.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+18.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 122 games (+6.17 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.10 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 63-91 against the Run Line (-35.32 Units / -19.46% ROI).
- 36-118 when betting on the Moneyline for -62.75 Units / -40.19% ROI
- 65-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -13.25% ROI
- 79-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 4.9% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 77-77 against the Run Line (+3.07 Units / 1.61% ROI).
- 88-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 3.12% ROI
- 81-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 2.67% ROI
- 70-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.95 Units / -11.68% ROI
Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) |
0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) |
0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) |
0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Padres vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) |
0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) |
0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen (CWS) |
3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Martin Perez (SD) |
4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has an ERA of 7.40 (99.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 4.26 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (327 Total Bases / 571 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: .431 — second Percentile.
Chris Flexen has located his pitches away 61% of the time (1,588/2,605) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OBP of .378 (609 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .305 — first Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .373 (41-for-110) against Martin Perez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed an OPS of 1.080 (118 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .750 — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of .673 (74 Total Bases / 110 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .428 — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 75 of Martin Perez’s 499 elevated fastballs out of the zone (15%) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.