White Sox vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 20
White Sox vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 20

The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-250) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the White Sox are 36-117 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 77-76 ATS.

White Sox vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-12, 3.78 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 6-5, 4.26 ERA

White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 67.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+23.20 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 43 games (+34.50 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+17.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 away games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 72 away games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 34% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 76 games (+17.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 121 games (+7.47 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.10 Units / 18% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 62-91 against the Run Line (-36.42 Units / -20.18% ROI).

  • 36-117 when betting on the Moneyline for -61.75 Units / -39.8% ROI
  • 65-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.25 Units / -12.71% ROI
  • 78-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 4.33% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 77-76 against the Run Line (+4.37 Units / 2.31% ROI).

  • 87-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 2.68% ROI
  • 81-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 3.32% ROI
  • 69-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.95 Units / -12.35% ROI

Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)
0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Manny Machado (SD)
0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Luis Robert (CWS)
0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Kyle Higashioka (SD)
0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Jackson Merrill (SD)
0.5 +700 0.5 -1200

Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)
0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Manny Machado (SD)
0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Jackson Merrill (SD)
0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Andrew Vaughn (CWS)
0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Donovan Solano (SD)
0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Padres vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Manny Machado (SD)
0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)
0.5 +195 0.5 -250

Jackson Merrill (SD)
0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Donovan Solano (SD)
0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Jurickson Profar (SD)
0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Joe Musgrove (SD)
6.5 +115 6.5 -150

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 34% (195 SO in 566 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 38% (99 SO in 258 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 36% (132 SO in 365 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 40% (48 SO in 119 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Musgrove has not allowed a walk in his last 69 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 23rd — Jacob deGrom has the longest active streak at 90.

Joe Musgrove has struck out 42% (13/31) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .111 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .275 — 98th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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