The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-105) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Phillies are 91-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 79-74 ATS.

Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 10-9, 3.21 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 9-2, 2.87 ERA

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+21.70 Units / 310% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 61 games (+19.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 94 games (+13.15 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 63 away games (+6.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+51.12 Units / 142% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 94 games (+21.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 95 games (+16.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 75-78 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -3.31% ROI).

• 91-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 0.72% ROI
• 71-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -7.22% ROI
• 75-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -2.06% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 79-74 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 1.75% ROI).

• 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 4.25% ROI
• 76-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -0.71% ROI
• 70-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -7.51% ROI

Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (132/213) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (311/530) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has a strike rate of 76% (209/277) this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has a strike rate of 76% (209/277) this month (3 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.2 MPH on the 166 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 61% (2,542/4,166) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (98/180) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

David Peterson has walked 113 of 1,059 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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