The Buffalo Bills (2-0) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (2-0) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Miami Gardens.
The Bills are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Bills vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 52.5 total points for the game.
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Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 3 game with 60.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread this Week 3 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bills and Dolphins, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Bills Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bills players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gabriel Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Dawson Knox has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jamison Crowder has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Myles Gaskin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Teddy Bridgewater has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Teddy Bridgewater has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Myles Gaskin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Bills Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have scored first in their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Dolphins Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+13.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have scored last in their last 6 games at home (+6.35 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).
- Bills are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 35.09% ROI
- Bills are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Bills are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 86.96% ROI).
- Dolphins are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 96.15% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Bills are winless (0-4) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Bills were winless (0-4) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Bills were winless (0-3) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.
The Bills were winless (0-4) when scoring less than 22 points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .222.
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Dolphins were 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays last season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .583.
The Dolphins were 3-6 (.333) when rushing less than 25 times last season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .270.