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In Stanford's first game as a member of the ACC, it takes on a Syracuse team led by new head coach Fran Brown on Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) from the JMA Wireless Dome in Syracuse, N.Y.
- In our Stanford vs. Syracuse prediction, we break down why the Orange can cover as 8.5-point favorites at our college football betting sites
- Another big performance from Kyle McCord could make him an interesting Heisman Trophy odds dark horse
- If Brown leads the Orange to a 3-0 record, they could become a College Football Playoff odds sleeper
In a matchup of two rebuilding programs, our Week 4 college football predictions expect Syracuse's transfer portal talent to flex its muscles.
Best Stanford vs. Syracuse picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Again st the spread pick: Syracuse -8.5 (-110 via bet365) vs. Stanford ???
- Player prop pick: Kyle McCord Over 290.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ????
Stanford vs. Syracuse against the spread prediction: Week 4
Stanford vs. Syracuse opening odds:
- Stanford: +9.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
- Syracuse: -9.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
Coming off a 31-28 win over Georgia Tech, it appears that Brown has quickly turned Syracuse into a competitive team. A former star recruiter at Georgia, Brown has used the transfer portal to bolster the Orange's roster.
The biggest difference has been Syracuse's offense with McCord, the former Ohio State starter, helping the Orange rank eighth in EPA per dropback.
With McCord and wide receiver Oronde Gadsden II doing their best Donovan McNabb to Marvin Harrison impersonation, the Cardinal are in trouble. Stanford is just 96th in EPA per dropback on defense.
It's not as if Troy Taylor's team can sell out to stop the pass, either. Stanford's defense is 112th in EPA per rush and Syracuse running back LeQuint Allen ranks 20th in the country in rushing yards after contact per carry (4.2), per PFF.
It's pretty clear that Stanford has one of the worst offenses in the country. It's putting up the 14th-fewest yards per game among Power 4 teams (361.5) and managed just 286 against a TCU defense that's 56th in SP+.
Outside of Canadian r eceiver Elic Ayomanor, Stanford's offense lacks for playmakers. It ranks 113th in EPA per rush and 110th in EPA per dropback.
And while the Cardinal would rather throw the ball with Ashton Daniels, the Orange are 37th in EPA per dropback on defense. That's why I'm happily backing Syracuse to cover with a $10 winning bet paying a $9.09 profit.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Stanford vs. Syracuse prop pick for Week 4
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Between his play to start the season and this line at FanDuel, it's hard to pass on taking the Over on McCord's passing yards. This same prop is -115 or shorter elsewhere with the line at 293.5.
Through two starts with Syracuse, McCord is averaging 367.5 passing yards per game. He's the only QB in the country with an adjusted completion rate above 74%, an ADOT of 10+ yards, and at least six big-time throws.
He should cruise against a Stanford defense that allowed Josh Hoover to throw for 353 yards in the lone P4 game the Cardinal have played.
If McCord throws for Over 290.5 for the third straight game, a $10 bet pays an $8.77 profit.
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
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Stanford vs. Syracuse odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Stanford vs. Syracuse game info
- When: Friday, Sept. 20
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: JMA Wireless Dome (Syracuse, N.Y.)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Syracuse (-340 via DraftKings)
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