The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+100) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 84-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 79-73 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 9-9, 4.81 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 8-5, 3.07 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 33 games (+39.10 Units / 118% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+19.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+13.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 47 games (+27.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+22.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+17.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tobias Myers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 96 games (+31.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 95 games (+19.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 25 games (+25.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 25 games (+25.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 152 games (+12.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 148 games (+10.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games at home (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 77-75 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -2.74% ROI).
- 84-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 5.27% ROI
- 87-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.25 Units / 12.02% ROI
- 60-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.45 Units / -21.34% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 79-73 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 1.02% ROI).
- 88-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 6.5% ROI
- 78-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.5 Units / 5.11% ROI
- 64-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -22 Units / -13.08% ROI
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christian Walker (ARI) |
0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) |
0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
Joc Pederson (ARI) |
0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
Ketel Marte (ARI) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Willy Adames (MIL) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christian Walker (ARI) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Jackson Chourio (MIL) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Corbin Carroll (ARI) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
William Contreras (MIL) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Jake McCarthy (ARI) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christian Walker (ARI) |
0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) |
0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
William Contreras (MIL) |
0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Willy Adames (MIL) |
0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Joc Pederson (ARI) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tobias Myers (MIL) |
4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) |
5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .292 (26-for-89) against Brandon Pfaadt’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .289 (69-for-239) against Brandon Pfaadt when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — seventh Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (497/699) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has walked 11 of 257 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has not walked any of the 26 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .149 (14-for-94) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 98th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .446 (109 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Tobias Myers over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .197 — fourth Percentile.