Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 24
Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 24

The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at 1.5.

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 74-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 88-63 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 54 games at home (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +1000 0.5
Carson Kelly 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Christian Walker 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Carson Kelly 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Carson Kelly 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
Alex Cobb 4.5 -130 4.5 -110

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 74 games (+37.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.70 Units / 108% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 69-79 against the Run Line (-17.65 Units / -9.66% ROI).

  • 74-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -10.33% ROI
  • 69-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -5.58% ROI
  • 71-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -3.44% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 88-63 against the Run Line (+21.55 Units / 11.22% ROI).

  • 70-81 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.33% ROI
  • 67-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -11.9% ROI
  • 79-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 2.57% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (183/306) against Alex Cobb since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (624/1,533) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (881/1,790) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (206/419) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .239 (188 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .082 (4-for-49) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .155 — 92nd Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has located his fastball away 51% of the time (1,443/2,839) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 70% (1,000/1,431) in two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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