The Milwaukee Brewers (-225) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+180) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5.

The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 81-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 70-79 ATS.

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Willy Adames has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 58 away games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
• Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 44 games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
• Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mike Minor has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 75% ROI)
• Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
• Nick Senzel has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)

Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 70 of their last 131 games (+13.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 123 games (+14.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.85 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 10% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 64-86 against the Run Line (-29.75 Units / -16.4% ROI).

• 81-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -7.58% ROI
• 73-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -2.08% ROI
• 70-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -5.51% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 70-79 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -8.41% ROI).

• 58-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.75 Units / -11.66% ROI
• 71-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -7.39% ROI
• 75-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -2.18% ROI

Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (89/210) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

103 of Corbin Burnes’ 223 strikeouts (46%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (300/507) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (856/1,398) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (68/109) against Graham Ashcraft in two-strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 76% of the time (836/1,108) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (135/755) against Graham Ashcraft this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (86/483) against Graham Ashcraft in non-two strike counts this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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