The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+110) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Braces are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5.

The Braves vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 92-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 74-73 ATS.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 101 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 28 games (+19.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+17.60 Units / 77% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 60 games (+16.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 79 of his last 139 games (+16.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 39 of his last 52 games at home (+15.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+12.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 67 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)

Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 125 games (+25.07 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 away games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 47 away games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 away games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 83 of their last 145 games (+18.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+2.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 77-72 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -2.2% ROI).

• 92-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 4.37% ROI
• 73-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.12% ROI
• 68-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -7.44% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 74-73 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -0.98% ROI).

• 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.46% ROI
• 75-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.24% ROI
• 68-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.65 Units / -8.34% ROI

Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (140/228) against Kyle Wright this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (257/469) against Kyle Wright this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has induced opposing hitters to ground into 26 double plays in 130 opportunities (20%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (22/32) against Kyle Wright — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Falter: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The last hit on a Bailey Falter breaking pitch was August 31st. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Zack Britton has the longest active streak at 49.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (16/53) against Bailey Falter this month (3 games) — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (13/45) against Bailey Falter this month (3 games) — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.

Bailey Falter has allowed an OBP of just .160 (25 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (3 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .312 — 97th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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