Giants vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 3
Giants vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 3

The New York Giants (0-2-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-1-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

The Browns are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Giants vs. Browns Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Browns Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.50 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)

  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored first in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Giants went 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Giants are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Giants are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Giants are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Browns went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Browns are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 8.89% ROI
  • Browns are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Browns are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants were 2-7 (.222) on the road last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.

The Giants are 2-8 (.200) on the road since the 2022 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .446.

The Giants were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.

The Browns are 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Giants have averaged just 2.1 sacks per game over that time span — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Browns are 4-2 (.667) when not forcing a turnover since the 2022 season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .254.

The Browns were 8-3 (.727) when playing in cold weather last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns have run successful plays on just 25.0% of pass attempts with motion this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Giants have pressured opposing QBs on 42.3% of pass attempts against motion this season — 4th-best in NFL.

  
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