The San Diego Padres (-200) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+170) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at –2.5.
The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 82-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 80-69 ATS.
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+14.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 57 away games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 29 away games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 126 games (+8.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 65-84 against the Run Line (-25.3 Units / -13.67% ROI).
- 82-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -5.73% ROI
- 70-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -7.84% ROI
- 76-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.54% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 80-69 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 1.76% ROI).
- 64-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -2.16% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -7.43% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -2.08% ROI
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .067 (3-for-45) against Yu Darvish — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OPS of just .154 (46 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .657 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .165 (44-for-266) against Yu Darvish’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 95th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .253 (719 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 91st Percentile.
Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .459 (28-for-61) against Chad Kuhl on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .277 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .469 (38-for-81) against Chad Kuhl on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 0 Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has an ERA of 7.69 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — 0 Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has allowed at least one HR in each of his last 11 games dating back to July 3rd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.